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Friday, May 04, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

QQQQ, Of course there will be seesaw choppy time frames.
Looks like it could be the opposite pattern......

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For amusement purposes only.........


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Thursday, May 03, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

CAC...
Could be cresting.......


DAX...
Could also be cresting............


FTSE...


Spain General Index...
Could be caught in a 3rd wave down..........


ITALY MITBEL INDEX (Milan)...
Potential H&S........

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HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

SSEC...


HSI...


Another look at HSI...

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HOT SPOT CHARTING...

Top 10 DJIA Market Crashes..........

10th Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 1/15/2000Date Ended: 10/9/2002Total Days: 999Starting DJIA: 11,792.98Ending DJIA: 7,286.27Total Loss: -37.8%

This crash required the longest recovery time of all crashes in this list. The combination of the tech bubble bursting and the September 11th terrorist attack served a deadly blow to the stock market, but relative to markets past, this was a minor one.


9th Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 11/21/1916Date Ended: 12/19/1917Total Days: 393Starting DJIA: 110.15Ending DJIA: 65.95Total Loss: -40.1%

As you will see, this market suffered about a 40% loss. It's difficult to break even after a 40% loss. On a $1,000 investment, your portfolio went down to $600. To get back to $1,000, it would have to go up 66.7%!


8th Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 9/12/1939
Date Ended: 4/28/1942

Total Days: 959
Starting DJIA: 155.92
Ending DJIA: 92.92
Total Loss: -40.4%

Although this stock market crash only took the 8th spot, it was one of the most grueling. It took nearly 3 years to recover from this crash! With WWII and the attack on Pearl Harbor, the markets had a very tough time.


7th Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 1/11/1973
Date Ended: 12/06/1974

Total Days: 694
Starting DJIA: 1051.70
Ending DJIA: 577.60
Total Loss: -45.1%

Another long market crash -one that many people still remember (think Vietnam and the Watergate scandal). This crash lasted for 694 days before bottoming out.


6th Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 6/17/1901
Date Ended: 11/9/1903

Total Days: 875
Starting DJIA: 57.33
Ending DJIA: 30.88
Total Loss: -46.1%

This is the oldest crash to make the list (DJIA records are not available before 1900). Btw, The American flag had 45 stars....


The 5th worst stock market crash:
Date Started: 11/3/1919
Date Ended: 8/24/1921

Total Days: 660
Starting DJIA: 119.62
Ending DJIA: 63.9
Total Loss: -46.6%

After this crash bottomed out in August of 1921, the decade saw tremendous growth in the stock market and the economy (often called the roaring twenties).


4th Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 9/3/1929
Date Ended: 11/13/1929

Total Days: 71
Starting DJIA: 381.17
Ending DJIA: 198.69
Total Loss: -47.9%

Although this is the shortest market crash observed, it was a deadly one. Investors saw almost half their money disappear in just two months. Often this crash is the worst in most people's minds.


3rd Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 1/19/1906
Date Ended: 11/15/1907

Total Days: 665
Starting DJIA: 75.45
Ending DJIA: 38.83
Total Loss: -48.5%

This crash was called the "Panic of 1907."


2nd Worst Stock Market Crash:
Date Started: 3/10/1937
Date Ended: 3/31/1938

Total Days: 386
Starting DJIA: 194.40
Ending DJIA: 98.95
Total Loss: -49.1%

Just when investors thought the market was finally good again, following a recovery of almost half of the great depression losses, the market plunged again due to war scare and Wall street scandals.


Worst Stock Market Crash Ever:
Date Started: 4/17/1930
Date Ended: 7/8/1932

Total Days: 813
Starting DJIA: 294.07
Ending DJIA: 41.22
Total Loss: -86.0%

This is the grand daddy of them all. Investors lost 86% of their money over this 813 day beast. This market crash combined with the 1929 crash, makes up the great depression.



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Disclaimer: The content in this blog is for leisure purposes only. The content is not intended as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Do not use the content to make any investment decisions.

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

Nasdaq Global Market Index.
Began trading July 06 close to the double bottom.
Could see a double top in 07...


Nasdaq 100 Percent of Stocks Above 150 Day Moving Average


Nasdaq 100 Percent of Stocks Above 50 Day Moving Average...


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HOT SPOT CHARTING

Is there a pattern.........

(Click charts to enlarge)


RUSSELL 2000...


NASDAQ...



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Tuesday, May 01, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

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NASDAQ ADVANCE/DECLINE ISSUES,
More shares may move higher tomorrow (low MACD)


Andy Xie warns of China crash(Reuters.com)
"I think it's going to be bust very soon," Xie said, adding that a combination of excess liquidity, rising inflation and rich valuations would result in a global crash soon.
http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersEdge/idUSSIN15117620070430


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HOT SPOT CHARTING...


DJIA, Watching breakout level...

S&P 500, watching breakout level...



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Monday, April 30, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

Homebuilder Centex posts quarterly loss (Reuters.com)
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSWEN732120070430

U.S. Stocks Fall on Economy Concern; Target, Retailers Decline (Bloomberg.com)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601084&sid=a3oYj4YAeYTw&refer=stocks

Circuit City Sees First-Quarter Loss; Shares Tumble (Bloomberg)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=abTuJUM34qcc&refer=us

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HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

S&P RETAIL INDEX (dashed) and gasoline prices.
History suggest we could see this retail index falling briskly...



TARGET Corp. (TGT)...


NORDSTROM Inc. (JWN)...


GAP Inc. (GPS)


J C PENNEY CO Inc. (JCP)...



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Sunday, April 29, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

Dow Jones US Trucking Index...


UPS, Back in declining channel...


JBHT, Closed below breakout level...


FDX, At the neckline...


China Tells Banks to Set Aside More Money as Reserves (Bloomberg)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a2j4pgA2svRM&refer=home


HSI, We could still see a EW 3 leg down...

Note: Stock markets in Japan are closed Monday, Thursday and Friday for holidays...

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Saturday, April 28, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

S&P500 could meet it's all time closing high (monthly chart)...


However the S&P 500 High-Low Index shows that
the 10ma has yet to crossover the 20 ma (weekly chart)...


S&P/TSE, Could be beginning a new cycle (daily chart)...


Dow Jones World Stock Index.
A potential ending 5th wave (daily chart)...

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HOT SPOT CHARTING...


DOW JONES WILSHIRE TECHNOLOGY INDEX...


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Friday, April 27, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

DJIA dashed line with $SPX, $SSEC, $HSI.
2006 bottom all four indexes are together.
2007 April all four indexes are together again......
Not guessing what it signifies but worth noting....


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HOT SPOT CHARTING...

Furniture Brands to cut jobs, close manufacturing facilities1:27 PM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Katherine Hunt - 11 minutes agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Furniture Brands International Inc. said Friday it plans to cut about 80 executive and administrative positions across the company. FBN

Tecumseh Products to cut 310 jobs1:07 PM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Gabriel Madway - 31 minutes agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Tecumseh Products Co. said Friday it is eliminating roughly 310 jobs in an effort to improve efficiency and return to profitability. TECUA, TECUB

Crude futures climb past $66 as gasoline prices rise12:22 PM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Myra P. Saefong - 1 hour agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- June crude climbed as high as $66.05 a barrel Friday afternoon, and was last up 89 cents at $65.95. Traders remained concerned about gasoline supplies following a 33 million-barrel drop in U.S. inventories over the last 11 weeks, according to Energy Department data.

Avid Technology's profit falls; shares slip11:51 AM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Gabriel Madway - 1 hour agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Avid Technology Inc. shares fall 11% to $34.30 in Friday morning trade. AVID

Intervoice swings to loss; shares fall11:33 AM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Gabriel Madway - 2 hours agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Intervoice Inc. shares fell 15% to $6.21 in Friday morning trade. INTV

Curtiss-Wright shares gain on first-quarter results11:20 AM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Gabriel Madway - 2 hours agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Curtiss-Wright Corp. shares gained 11% to $46.31 in Friday morning trade. CW

CommScope profit surges; shares rise 11:11 AM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Gabriel Madway - 2 hours agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- CommScope Inc. shares rallied 11% to $50.49 in Friday morning trade. CTV

Universal Truckload's quarterly profit falls; shares sink10:57 AM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Gabriel Madway - 2 hours agoSAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Universal Truckload Services Inc. shares fell 17% to $22.44 in Friday morning. UACL

U.S. vacancy rate rises to record 2.8% in first quarter10:19 AM ET, Apr 27, 2007 - By Rex Nutting - 3 hours agoWASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The vacancy rate for owner-occupied homes rose to a record 2.8% in the first quarter from 2.7% in the fourth quarter, the Commerce Department reported Friday.

Visit MarketWatch for great commentary and charts...
http://www.marketwatch.com/

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HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)



Zimbabwe inflation reaches 2,200% (BBC News)

Inflation in Zimbabwe reached a record 2,200% in March amid a deepening economic and political crisis in the southern African country.
Both food and non-food contributed to the year-on-year inflation rate, said central bank Governor Gideon Gono.
The March data had been due for release earlier this month but had been delayed, fanning fears of further crippling price rises.
Mr Gono said secured interest rates would rise to 600%, up from 500%.
He said the Zimbabwean currency would remain at the existing exchange rate of 250 to the US dollar but offered a new rate for central bank purchases of foreign currency to help build a new "drought stabilisation fund".
Exporters claim their businesses have been devastated by this skewed exchange rate. Inflation hit 1,730% in February, the highest in the world.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/6597993.stm

Admission of ETFs and China CITIC Bank as Designated Securities for Short Selling ...

The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (the Exchange), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Hong Kong Exchanges, has announced that the following Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) will be admitted to the list of designated securities eligible for short selling tomorrow (Thursday, 26 April) when they are listed on the Exchange's Main Board.
Stock Code Name, 2810 Lyxor ETF MSCI India, 2813 Lyxor ETF MSCI Korea,

2826 Lyxor ETF Nasdaq-100, 2809 Lyxor ETF Commodities CRB

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Hang Seng Index (27/04/2007)
HSI 20526.5 (-140.79) -0.68%




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Thursday, April 26, 2007

HOT SPOT CHARTING...



(Click charts to enlarge)


Some laggard's suggesting this is not a broad based rally.
At least not yet...
SELLING CAN POTENTIALLY BEGIN AT ANYTIME.......
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HOT SPOT CHARTING...


RUSSELL 2000...


IWM, Pushed through on lower volume...



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HOT SPOT CHARTING...

(Click charts to enlarge)

NIKKEI, Having some trouble with the 50ma...


NIKKEI 300 INDEX...


HONG KONG HANG SENG (INDEX)...


Hong Kong HANG SENG HK MID CAP (INDEX)...


BlackRock chief warns on leveraged loans(FT.com)
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2604e61e-f369-11db-9845-000b5df10621.html

S&P More Than Doubles Alt A Mortgage Bonds It May Cut (Bloomberg.com)
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aygOoDr2GA0k&refer=us



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HOT SPOT CHARTING

(Click charts to enlarge)

S&P Transportation Index...


D J Transportation Index...


Nasdaq Transportation Index...

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